Make no mistake, Nichols hasn't gotten any better or any worse skill wise game to game... however, his performance/success is effected by play calling... and it works both ways... so, in essence Nichols and Lapo are each other's 'ride or die'... the difference is, Nichols can only be as good as the game plan Lapo gives him... Lapo tries to manage Nichols thru play calling instead of managing the game in front of him...
Lapo gets spooked of Nichols abilities and or his weaknesses, because lets be honest here, everyone knows that Nichols' 'pros'; he generally makes good decisions with the ball and has good short range accuracy, 'cons'; decent arm strength, at least good enough to make all of the throws, inconsistent with the deep throws, and not very mobile. This is no secret and everyone has been saying it all the way back to his 2010 NFL draft profile...
this assessment is my own personal opinion but I think it tends to prove itself out... Nichols tends to be a momentum type QB, meaning, if he gets off to a hot start he tends to stay hot, conversely, if he starts out cold/bad it tends to follow him thru the game as well... I think it's pretty obvious that it gets to his head, when hot; quick. decisive, and good throw... when not; gets happy feet, bails on the pocket, makes quick, check down throws...
this next one is one that Nichols freely admits, at least this first part... he's so worried about throwing a pic and turning over the ball... it's really gets to him... to me, it's one of the reasons why we either see him not make a throw, check down all of the time, or throw it 20 yards out of bounds...
Now Lapo knows all of these issues, abilities, lack there of, etc. and comes up with these game plans that we've labeled the 'dink and dunk' because it hits high marks on a lot of traditional stats, like, completion % and low interception numbers... this type of game plan plays into Nichols' strengths, but what it doesn't do is take into consideration the other play makers strength or yield a lot of production... So sure, Nichols can go 22/28, 200 yds, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs... and everyone is screaming 'look how good he is!'
but that offense is full of screens, check downs, all of the receivers trying to run routes 'in the box', and running routes that basically have the receivers finding a spot to sit down in the defense to present a target or the slant or out... yeah, we do have 'success' in this offense, because the defense has no issue allowing these type of plays, ones that are in front of them and under the chains... they'll give you that all night long because it generates a lot of 2 and outs, or 3 and outs, few yards allowed, and a bunch of punts...
but in doing so, where basically throwing away receiver attributes that you can't coach; height and speed... in a league where most DBs or 6' or less, we're not exploiting Matthew's 6'5" advantage over a much shorter DB, or, Whitehead's 4.3 speed against DB that are trying to guess which direction he may go and keep up with him... or Darvin's combination of both... or physical build of players like Demski and Woli... every receiver gets dumbed down to Nichols' strengths...
Lapo gets so worked up over this 'ball control' thing and his fear of Nichols accuracy or possible INTs he thinks he's doing everyone a favor with this game plan and can't seem to see that the more aggressive and dynamic game plan that has receivers playing to their strengths instead of Nichols' weaknesses is a lot more productive overall. Sure maybe Nichols' completion percentage goes down some and he probably throws a few more INTS, but when having receivers running routes at varied depths, using receivers to move defenders we create more space, especially for YAC, larger throwing windows, favorable match up that maximizes receivers opportunities, more even ball distribution among play makers, and lessens Nichols weaknesses. when you have success in this manner it only opens up the running game that much more and is even more successful than the dink and dunk... in the end you can have results like 300+ yards passing, 80+ yards of rushing. same or more TDs, many a lower percentage rate of completions and a few more INTs...
in the end he may not string together 19 in a row, but, we'll have a more balanced attack and include more play makers and don't get bogged down into these 2 and outs with a ton of check downs... Nichols won't be a better passer, but, the better game plan doesn't exploit his weaknesses either, so he appears to be better than he actually is... we become a whole lots less predictable and a lot harder to actually stop... you can still win the TOP battle at least break even on turn overs but be able to move the ball when you need to and win more games...