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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

10 hours ago, wbbfan said:

Id much rather have duke. Michel can return too though. 

With Duke not available i'd be all for bringing this guy in, especially if he can return. Nelson is a wet blanket out there on returns. No explosion plays at all.

I'd like to see Stewart come in for Adams if he's banged up and McKnight get more targets downfield.  He'll be an important piece if we ever get Collaros on the move, he needs to fill Demski's role.  Buck is way too locked into Lawler and Bailey.

Williams could get a look on returns, but we have no idea if he can handle punts and that's a big deal, defer to the coaches on that one.

Any NFL cut is realistically 4-6 weeks away from practicing and playing, not really realistic this year.

Anyone know if Naaman Roosevelt stayed north after the Als cut him?

Edited by JuranBoldenRules

2 minutes ago, JuranBoldenRules said:

I'd like to see Stewart come in for Adams if he's banged up and McKnight get more targets downfield.  He'll be an important piece if we ever get Collaros on the move, he needs to fill Demski's role.  Buck is way too locked into Lawler and Bailey.

Any NFL cut is realistically 4-6 weeks away from practicing and playing, not really realistic this year.

we have an NFL talent in house if he can get healthy....big if....but if.....

14 hours ago, M.O.A.B. said:

I remember the Bombers were interested with him in the past.

And should be again,

Watching some of Lawler's catches - he is going to get hurt sooner rather than later - they need to reduce his targets. 

Marken Michel waived down south.......Do we give him a call???

2 hours ago, JCon said:

Sadly, Duke isn't available. He was injured, which is why the Bills waived him. He cleared waivers and the Bills have re-signed and placed him on the IR. They must still want him. 

Sucks the guy is hurt, but im glad the bills are keeping him around. He deserves the look. Thanks for the clarification. 

2 hours ago, Bubba Zanetti said:

With Duke not available i'd be all for bringing this guy in, especially if he can return. Nelson is a wet blanket out there on returns. No explosion plays at all.

He returned a little bit for calgary and a little bit in college. Hes not a returner by trade but hes quick and shifty with just enough experience to do it. 

2 hours ago, Booch said:

we have an NFL talent in house if he can get healthy....big if....but if.....

I dont think we ever heard what his injury was, Idk why we didnt keep him on the IR instead unless it was gonna be more than 6 games. 

2 hours ago, JuranBoldenRules said:

I'd like to see Stewart come in for Adams if he's banged up and McKnight get more targets downfield.  He'll be an important piece if we ever get Collaros on the move, he needs to fill Demski's role.  Buck is way too locked into Lawler and Bailey.

Williams could get a look on returns, but we have no idea if he can handle punts and that's a big deal, defer to the coaches on that one.

Any NFL cut is realistically 4-6 weeks away from practicing and playing, not really realistic this year.

Anyone know if Naaman Roosevelt stayed north after the Als cut him?

Id like to see agudosi get some looks too. I doubt naaman has stuck around. Im pretty meh on him too. 

Michel would fit in nicely with our demski role and capable returnman could be a good fit. 

6 hours ago, Mark H. said:

Watching some of Lawler's catches - he is going to get hurt sooner rather than later - they need to reduce his targets. 

Football is a collision sport. No way getting around that. 

October 15th? To borrow from LT Terry Jeffords, Edmonton is DUMB.

1 hour ago, rebusrankin said:

October 15th? To borrow from LT Terry Jeffords, Edmonton is DUMB.

It is dumb to wait that long. That means it will be for all of 3 home games. Not a chance they make a home playoff at this point. 
 

Why not make it right away or within 2 weeks to allow everyone to get vaxxed and wait the 2 weeks. 

1 hour ago, rebusrankin said:

October 15th? To borrow from LT Terry Jeffords, Edmonton is DUMB.

The provincial PCs are probably praying that the pandemic will go away all by itself by then and then they can crow about their masterful inactivity.

9 minutes ago, Fox Creek AB Rider Fan said:

Hearing you signed Roosevelt 

It doesn't hurt to have some intel, ya know. 

17 minutes ago, M.O.A.B. said:

It doesn't hurt to have some intel, ya know. 

He might be able to help point us to the locker room but that’s about it. Not much from the 2019 offence is the same in my opinion. 

43 minutes ago, Fox Creek AB Rider Fan said:

Hearing you signed Roosevelt 

...And there it is...

So far, we do not seem to have a game-breaker receiver who scares the poop out of defensive backs. Collaros has the arm and attitude and it would loosen up things for the possession receivers and the running game.

19 minutes ago, Tracker said:

So far, we do not seem to have a game-breaker receiver who scares the poop out of defensive backs. Collaros has the arm and attitude and it would loosen up things for the possession receivers and the running game.

I miss Lucky Whitehead.  

1 hour ago, Tracker said:

So far, we do not seem to have a game-breaker receiver who scares the poop out of defensive backs. Collaros has the arm and attitude and it would loosen up things for the possession receivers and the running game.

Lawler has the tools to be that receiver, IMO. He's currently third in receiving yards (323), tied for the league in TDs, and leads the league in both receptions (25) and targets (36).

Just have to get the offense into more of a rhythm as the season progresses. It's easy to forget there was no pre-season and there's some still some fine tuning required.

16 minutes ago, Bubba Zanetti said:

Reggie Begelton released by Packers today...

yes please

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