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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

Well Ironhead Gallon just got cut from Ottawa. I would have kept him around just on the name alone.

Edited by Bubba Zanetti

2 hours ago, Noeller said:

I wonder if it was a vaccine-related thing.....

Maybe they just weren't happy with him

Ottawa's final cuts (some already announced):

 Recievers Joe Walker Shannon Smith, Terry Williams, Kendrick Rogers and Wesley Lewis, offensive linemen Nick Buchanan, Jack Kramer, Taylor Tappin, and Josh Dunlop, linebackers D’Juan Hines, Kean Harelimana and Jawuan Johnson, defensive lineman Thomas Grant and defensive backs Jonathan Alston, Marcus Roberson, Ironhead Gallon, Dominique Hatfield and Nate Hamlin.

Ottawa Redblacks cut down roster, announce practice roster to begin 2021 CFL season – Lil’ Z, Big R (wordpress.com)

Menard-Briere cut by Montreal. We drafted him in 2017

1 minute ago, BBlink said:

Menard-Briere cut by Montreal. We drafted him in 2017

I heard he was having a good camp kinda surprised. I wouldn't mind him on our pr but I think we are locked in with crapinga

9 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

I heard he was having a good camp kinda surprised. I wouldn't mind him on our pr but I think we are locked in with crapinga

Agreed. Maybe he'll keep unsigned for a few weeks and we can keep him on our radar. 

Elks left LB Vontae Diggs and DE Shawn Lemon off of their final roster. Coach said they were simply outperformed in camp by others.

3 minutes ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

Elks left LB Vontae Diggs and DE Shawn Lemon off of their final roster. Coach said they were simply outperformed in camp by others.

Diggs was already scooped up by the Argos last night.

7 minutes ago, bigg jay said:

Diggs was already scooped up by the Argos last night.

The argos are busy today. I feel like its never a good sign when the team that "won" free agency is scooping other teams cuts on cut down day before making their own. 

Just now, wbbfan said:

The argos are busy today. I feel like its never a good sign when the team that "won" free agency is scooping other teams cuts on cut down day before making their own. 

They'll have to dump salary somewhere. Diggs is only in his 2nd year so he'd be cheaper than one of the vets they've picked up.  I saw someone (Hodge maybe?) speculating he might replace Judge or Muamba.

1 minute ago, bigg jay said:

They'll have to dump salary somewhere. Diggs is only in his 2nd year so he'd be cheaper than one of the vets they've picked up.  I saw someone (Hodge maybe?) speculating he might replace Judge or Muamba.

Yeah that cut down is the biggest cut day mess ive seen in a long time. I cant imagine judge would be the odd man out.  I wonder if the the argos are just going wild on the phones trying to cut a deal to get some value from vets they are about to cut right now. Gonna be interesting thats for sure. 

3 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

Yeah that cut down is the biggest cut day mess ive seen in a long time. I cant imagine judge would be the odd man out.  I wonder if the the argos are just going wild on the phones trying to cut a deal to get some value from vets they are about to cut right now. Gonna be interesting thats for sure. 

Yeah I checked and Derek Taylor was the one who mentioned Judge because they place the same spot.  They've also got Bear Woods & Dexter McCoil  at LB (amongst others) who could get cut loose.

14 minutes ago, bigg jay said:

Yeah I checked and Derek Taylor was the one who mentioned Judge because they place the same spot.  They've also got Bear Woods & Dexter McCoil  at LB (amongst others) who could get cut loose.

Yeah they spent like drunk sailors and didnt pay any mind to who they had.  Man I would still love to get judge here. Idk if hed want the role and pay hed get here but thatd be a great luxury for us. 

Looks like Lucky has made the Lions.  I wish him all the same success against us as Kito Poblah...lol...

Edited by kelownabomberfan

  • Author

no surprises that Toronto is allowed to do whatever the hell they want. There's been shenanigans for years to try and keep them afloat by gifting them a winner. You will NEVER convince me that the Ricky Ray trade wasn't rigged to gift them a championship and hopefully bring fans back. Complete horseshit. 

4 minutes ago, Noeller said:

no surprises that Toronto is allowed to do whatever the hell they want. There's been shenanigans for years to try and keep them afloat by gifting them a winner. You will NEVER convince me that the Ricky Ray trade wasn't rigged to gift them a championship and hopefully bring fans back. Complete horseshit. 

yup worse trade ever.

Back on December 12, 2011 former Edmonton Eskimos GM Eric Tillman stunned the CFL by dealing Ricky Ray to the Toronto Argonauts for a first-round pick , quarterback Steven Jyles and kicker Grant Shaw.

I don’t understand why people are so confused about the Toronto roster and how they afford it. They’ve got their money allocated in strange ways, but it’s pretty easy to see how they afford things.

Their OL is pretty underwhelming and they’re not paying 200k to a running back. They’re going to be an interesting team to watch, but they’ve got all kinds of question marks and their money is so poorly allocated. No protection whatsoever for Arbuckle, but sure have fun with your 38 different star linebackers. 

3 hours ago, M.O.A.B. said:

yup worse trade ever.

Back on December 12, 2011 former Edmonton Eskimos GM Eric Tillman stunned the CFL by dealing Ricky Ray to the Toronto Argonauts for a first-round pick , quarterback Steven Jyles and kicker Grant Shaw.

The Jason Maas from Hamilton to Edmonton for “future considerations” just before Edmonton’s Grey Cup run (2003 I think) was worse. The future considerations was - Jason Maas - at the start of the next season. 

46 minutes ago, Mike said:

I don’t understand why people are so confused about the Toronto roster and how they afford it. They’ve got their money allocated in strange ways, but it’s pretty easy to see how they afford things.

Their OL is pretty underwhelming and they’re not paying 200k to a running back. They’re going to be an interesting team to watch, but they’ve got all kinds of question marks and their money is so poorly allocated. No protection whatsoever for Arbuckle, but sure have fun with your 38 different star linebackers. 

The penalties for exceeding the salary cap are so inconsequential that it makes more sense to build a championship roster and make extra Grey Cup revenue by cheating than by playing by the rules. I wish the Bombers did it more, and I won’t slag any team that takes advantage of it. 

Edited by TrueBlue4ever

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