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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

32 minutes ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

I know that’s what they say, but if it is true then their hot takes and insights are nothing special. Montreal has a QB who they could trade for good value, Winnipeg is the best team right now, Mourtada can’t make field goals, If Ottawa traded Ward they should seek a high price? Nothing but opinion that I would see on this site (and presumably others) on any given day. 

You appear with the tedious inevitability of an unloved season. - Hugo Drax

Bombers are 99% partially vaccinated and 98% fully vaccinated as per the WFP today.

Just now, Bubba Zanetti said:

Mike O'Shea tells the media that 99 percent of the team is partially vaccinated and 98 percent of the team is fully vaccinated.#Bombers | #ForTheW | #Winnipeg | #CFL

Wonder who the holdout is?

This is an interesting quesiton. Im hoping its some one who is on the PR and who wont be traveling or playing in the play offs either way. 

Hopefully not a key player.

4 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

This is an interesting quesiton. Im hoping its some one who is on the PR and who wont be traveling or playing in the play offs either way. 

Collaros

14 minutes ago, Bubba Zanetti said:

Mike O'Shea tells the media that 99 percent of the team is partially vaccinated and 98 percent of the team is fully vaccinated.#Bombers | #ForTheW | #Winnipeg | #CFL

 

Wonder who the holdout is?

If I had to bet, I would assume it's likely a PR guy. Or someone who doesn't get a lot of playing time...if any. FIFO and all.

11 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

This is an interesting quesiton. Im hoping its some one who is on the PR and who wont be traveling or playing in the play offs either way. 

Castillo? He has been down in the States. 

  • Author

On the contrary, I would think that if it was a relatively unimportant player, they'd be gone by now. I wonder if it's one of the more important players that outright refused the jab. Too important to just cut....

2 minutes ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

Castillo? He has been down in the States. 

He was still trying to land a job in the NFL very recently so i would assume he is vaccinated, as not being would make it that much harder.

27 minutes ago, Pete Catan's Ghost said:

You appear with the tedious inevitability of an unloved season. - Hugo Drax

You got me. I’m James Bond. 
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1 minute ago, Bubba Zanetti said:

He was still trying to land a job in the NFL very recently so i would assume he is vaccinated, as not being would make it that much harder.

Maybe, but there are a bunch of non-vaxxed NFL players and as far as I know no mandate.

Just spitballin’ with my guess. Could be anyone, But if it is someone currently on the team who has been here a while, they would have a pretty isolated life if not vaccinated, given the passport requirements to get into most public places, including IG Field. 

So the XFL has been having some meetings with no news breaking which has had me thinking. They just parted ways with their former president, who was supposed to stay on. I think itll be interesting to see when news does break from them.

When the talks broke off with the cfl, the XFL announced they would try to come back in 2022, with some people currently speculating 2023 is more realistic. The USFL scooped the XFLs fox tv spot, but fox is investing 150m to the usfl over the first 3 years. I suspect the XFL will need to partner with either the USFL or the CFL to get any traction. Building roster, front offices, coaching staffs and support crews is very intensive and some positions like experienced scouts and pro head coaches are kind of limited. If they arent partnering with the CFL, I could see them making an announcement around and before the grey cup game.  Especially if their announcement is a partnership with the USFL. If they make an announcement and start making official moves after the grey cup, I think its likely that they return to the table and establish some sort of CBA and partnership. Even if its just access to players coaches etc or even shared advertisement fluff stuff. 

With out a president, or much of any football minds involved they are pretty destabilized for a spring league aiming for a 2022 launch. Making 1 big announcement with a new president, some football types and maybe another media type would be a big step towards starting again. (before probably folding yet again after 1 year) 

Has anyone on our team been wearing a mask on the sidelines during games? That would be an indication of them being unvaxxed (like Trevor Harris was). I can’t recall any so my guess is PR guys. 

Just now, Bubba Zanetti said:

He was still trying to land a job in the NFL very recently so i would assume he is vaccinated, as not being would make it that much harder.

It looked like from his twitter that he is vaxxed. Also I dont see any chance the bombers would trade for him and bring him up if he wasnt vaxxed and wouldnt be play off  / gc eligible. 

Just now, Noeller said:

On the contrary, I would think that if it was a relatively unimportant player, they'd be gone by now. I wonder if it's one of the more important players that outright refused the jab. Too important to just cut....

This is possible, fifo you would think would have a PR guy sent packing. Unless, its a guy on the 6 game who wont be back this year, like crapinga or maston. Both of whom I believe are recovering at home.

Or, it could be Carlton agudosi. Last week (iirc) he was moved from the PR, to the suspended list. We never heard why that happened. Could be he informed the team he didnt intend to get vaccinated and he was put on the suspended list. Maybe they wanted to activate him for the game too, but he wasnt vaxxed and the bombers werent willing to do the full hassle of the isolated room bringing him food etc.  

17 minutes ago, Bigblue204 said:

If I had to bet, I would assume it's likely a PR guy. Or someone who doesn't get a lot of playing time...if any. FIFO and all.

I know who the one partially vaxxed guy is and it wasn’t easy to get him on his way. And he’s not a part timer, he’s a star.

4 minutes ago, Mike said:

I know who the one partially vaxxed guy is and it wasn’t easy to get him on his way. And he’s not a part timer, he’s a star.

hmmm. Well that narrows it down a bit. If I had to guess I'm going with Bailey or Lawler.

2 minutes ago, Bubba Zanetti said:

Winston Rose coming back!!

AND the rich just keep getting richer.....Fantastic news ...our db situation is golden ...(and blue)

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