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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

  • Author

I don't think any of us... The average Joe.... Is going to see a vaccine for a long time yet. Maybe late summer or early fall? So that's not the thing that's going to bring us out of it. We're gonna have to collectively work together to follow the health orders and keep things under control... 

Edit...

Edited by SpeedFlex27

2 hours ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

Agree but I think the market will dictate how many people get vaccinated. Want service in a store? Prove you've been vaccinated. Need to travel by air? Prove you've been vaccinated. Want to enter foreign countries by air, ship, rail, bus or by car? Prove that you're vaccinated. Want a hotel for the night or to stay at an all inclusive resort? Prove you're vaccinated. Want a plumber or carpenter to fix a problem in your house? Prove your vaccinated. Need service on your car, truck or SUV? Prove your vaccinated. Want a ticket to a concert or sporting event? Prove your vaccinated. Hey Snowbirds, want to go to Arizona for the winter? Prove your vaccinated. We'll see how strong these anti maskers & anti vaxxers are with their convictions when they can't go anywhere or do anything.  I believe the marketplace & businesses will dictate herd immunity not government or some wack job anti government conspiracy theorists. People are going to ***** about their rights being violated but companies & individuals will say it's their rights to refuse service if they feel they or their employees are at risk if they do business with someone who refuses to be vaccinated. The courts can't tell private businesses who they can or cannot serve if it comes down to safety. This isn't about racism where a store owner won't serve a minority but about safety. Safety of businesses & employees. 

 

Edited by SpeedFlex27

On 2020-12-12 at 1:14 PM, Stickem said:

Has anyone got the 'spoof' of the Riders 'too many men Cup loss'... being portrayed as 'Hitler's last days in the bunker'...That was a gem and worthy of a re-post and good laugh

 

  • Author

Lots of contract stuff going on around the league. No Bombers signings yet, but I'm sure they'll get to it. Riders extend all their coaches, as well as O'Day this morning. Als re-sign William Stanback...

Edited by Noeller

  • Author
18 minutes ago, Jpan85 said:

Re-signed with Als

derp.... knew that.......hadn't finished my first coffee yet. Will edit....

I don't see us having any issues re-signing guys we want, and it appears all want back anyway, so sadly depending on the financial aspect of the league, we may not be able to bring everyone back that would have been here in 2020...but time will tell and hopefully I am wrong, but from little birds I hear from most (in league) know that in 2021, and possibly 2022 they will have to play for a bit less than what has been used to for the betterment of the league, to allow years past that being more fruitful...and all are on board...because its this...or nothing if the NFL isn't an option

  • Author
1 hour ago, Booch said:

I don't see us having any issues re-signing guys we want, and it appears all want back anyway, so sadly depending on the financial aspect of the league, we may not be able to bring everyone back that would have been here in 2020...but time will tell and hopefully I am wrong, but from little birds I hear from most (in league) know that in 2021, and possibly 2022 they will have to play for a bit less than what has been used to for the betterment of the league, to allow years past that being more fruitful...and all are on board...because its this...or nothing if the NFL isn't an option

I think that's the right attitude to have. Let the league get back on its feet and you'll make your money eventually...

2 minutes ago, Noeller said:

I think that's the right attitude to have. Let the league get back on its feet and you'll make your money eventually...

yup....the thing with it too...teams if they want will still operate under the same cap this year, may not spend it all, but have to at the least pay up to the floor

14 minutes ago, JCon said:

Why hasn't Walters signed anyone yet? This is a disaster. 

 

 

 

Feels good. ;)

In the past I would have panicked but since weed is legal, nothing bothers me anymore. I mean unless I run out of weed.

Nice to have some semblance of a normal CFL kvetch session. Carry on.

Free-agency is just 2 months away though, so....

LET'S PANIC AND FREAK OUT

😁

Edited by M.O.A.B.

Shocked I have not seen one, "what are the Bombers are doing sitting on their hands every team is out here making signings" post yet lol. The Grey Cup changes people smh.

1 hour ago, Jpan85 said:

Shocked I have not seen one, "what are the Bombers are doing sitting on their hands every team is out here making signings" post yet lol. The Grey Cup changes people smh.

 

No no... The Grey Cup doesn't change people- it's the 30 freakin' year drought that changes people.... 

 

WqjzZL3.gif

No freak out because it's December and because the whole freak out thing is just made up by the Kumbaya Crowd in the first place.

We will have some roster turnover for sure. 32 FAs and a reduced SMS kind of seal that deal. Lots of guys on the lower echelon of the pay scale may choose to move on from football and just find jobs down South. The good news is that the upper echelon players will likely begrudgingly take the shave. In my estimation, the new spending policy will just make it really tough on recruitment as well. Losing Rigmaiden couldn't have come at a worse time for us. We may need to shave some luxury items off our list like the extra NAT OLs and a NAT receiver, and carrying 3 KRs is probably something we won't be doing this year either. Some hard decisions on a couple vets are likely as well. Pat Neufeld immediately comes to mind...

Edited by GCn20

Als re-sign William Stanbeck & Vernon Adams to restructured deals. Good signings even without knowing the salary cap yet. You need a quality qb & a running back to win so these 2 signings may not have hurt that much. Wait'll the offensive linemen across the CFL get a load of how much less they'll be paid. That will really reset the salary cap. 

I see Mike Edem & others have signed one year deals with their respective teams. Thanks to the rudderless leadership of Randy Ambrosie Nothing. Has. Changed. What about the great opportunity for the CFL to reset it's business model? Under Ambrosie Nothing. Will. Change. 

Neg list

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS
Name Position College
Ian Book QB Notre Dame
John Daka DE James Madison
Tae Hayes DB Appalachian St.
Alex McGough QB Florida International
Wyatt Miller OL Central Florida
Deatrick Nichols DB South Florida
Gimel President DE Illinois
Brock Purdy QB Iowa St.
Drew Richmond OL USC
Desmond Ridder QB Cincinnati
2 hours ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

Als re-sign William Stanbeck & Vernon Adams to restructured deals. Good signings even without knowing the salary cap yet. You need a quality qb & a running back to win so these 2 signings may not have hurt that much. Wait'll the offensive linemen across the CFL get a load of how much less they'll be paid. That will really reset the salary cap. 

Barring a coaching meltdown in Montreal, I expect Vernon Adams to elevate his game. He has too many abilities and too good an attitude to fail.

8 minutes ago, Tracker said:

Barring a coaching meltdown in Montreal, I expect Vernon Adams to elevate his game. He has too many abilities and too good an attitude to fail.

He developed into a pretty good qb. I expect that he should step up again.

  • Author

As with Fajardo, I'm extremely skeptical that Vernon Adams just suddenly figured out how to be a QB in this league.... I need more proof.

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