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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

Guess that means Kyle Walters is going nowhere...

16 minutes ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

Guess that means Kyle Walters is going nowhere...

What do you mean? Why would he?

1 minute ago, Dr Zaius said:

What do you mean? Why would he?

With Ringmaiden leaving & becoming the Lions GM. Hence the "No brainer" comment. I think that is the plan. He wouldn't be GM here unless Walters decides to leave.

  • Author

He's got a history with BC and there'll be a GM opening whenever they can afford it. It's weird to suggest Kyle would be leaving for any reason... The Trinity have a job in Winnipeg as long as they want it. 

  • 2 weeks later...

Ahh I haven't been paying much attention to CFL news lately because, quite simply, there hasn't really been any.

Sucks we lost Rigmaiden. He was definitely a big part of our management group. Good luck to him.

Good thing we still have Danny Mac and Ted Goveia under Walters. We're still strong, just not as strong.

 

 

Ranked A, B, C by priority. Just for fun. Expecting to be told I'm wrong. I'm also not saying that C level players won't get signed. Just like A level players may NOT get signed.

Quarterback

Sean McGuire (I) B

Running back

Andrew Harris (N) A

Fullback

Mike Miller (N) A
John Rush (N) C

Receiver

Rasheed Bailey (I) B
Nic Demski (N) A
Julian Feoli-Gudino (N) C
Janarion Grant (I) A
Kenny Lawler (I) A
Daniel Petermann (N) A
Lucky Whitehead (I) B

Offensive line

Stanley Bryant (I) A
Geoff Gray (N) A
Jermarcus Hardrick (I) A
Patrick Neufeld (N) A
Cody Speller (N) A

Defensive line

Tobi Antigha (I) B
Jackson Jeffcoat (I) A
Alex McCalister (I) C
Steven Richardson (I) C
Jake Thomas (N) B

Linebacker

Jesse Briggs (N) B
Brandon Calver (N) B
Shayne Gauthier (N) A
Thomas Miles (N) B
Kyrie Wilson (I) B

Defensive back

Brandon Alexander (I) B
Kerfalla Exumé (N) A
Josh Johnson (I) A
Chris Lyles (I) C
Mercy Maston (I) B
Otha Peters (I) C
Nick Taylor (I) B

Specialists

K/P Justin Medlock (I) A
LS Maxime Latour (N) B
LS Chad Rempel (N) B

  • Author

I was pretty good with your list until I saw Stove as a C. He's a B verging on A. Humongously important. I'm also tempted to move McAllister to a B, as well. I'd put BA37 as an A. Exume as a B. Josh Johnson a B. Shayne Gauthier is a B at best. 

10 minutes ago, Noeller said:

I was pretty good with your list until I saw Stove as a C. He's a B verging on A. Humongously important. I'm also tempted to move McAllister to a B, as well. I'd put BA37 as an A. Exume as a B. Josh Johnson a B. Shayne Gauthier is a B at best. 

I might give you BA as an A given his leadership abilities.

Stove you could be right at B. It's really difficult for me to gauge DTs and I think Drake was "the man" so maybe Stove needs to fill his spot. McAllister gets a lot of unwarranted praise. He has proven nothing. Maybe he has potential? We have Jefferson and Jeffcoat so his importance to me is very low.

Losing Rose and Sayles it was important to bring in the next high skill DB so that's why I think Josh Johnson will be very important to us. That said, it might change given there will be other players out there to sign come February.

Exume and Gauthier are top special teamers that have played a significant role for us. 

3 hours ago, Jpan85 said:

Listening to Jake Thomas and Pat Neufeld while they watched Grey Cup Neufeld singled out Stove as being one of the hardest guys in the league to block.

Specifically saying something along the lines of "people don't really know how good this guy is"

  • Author

More than a few guys banged their shin in The Stove and learned a lesson.... 

  • Author

Petermann would start on basically any other team. It says a lot about our receiver depth that he's not starting. 

7 hours ago, Noeller said:

Petermann would start on basically any other team. It says a lot about our receiver depth that he's not starting. 

Peterman is stuck behind some really good Canadian receivers. He could be a damned good one, but so can Demski and Wolitarsky. 

How many veterans from every team are going to be released as they are too expensive? I think sadly a lot of them will be let go. 

2 hours ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

How many veterans from every team are going to be released as they are too expensive? I think sadly a lot of them will be let go. 

Should be really interesting come tomorrow when players can re-sign with their clubs

2 hours ago, BBlink said:

Should be really interesting come tomorrow when players can re-sign with their clubs

Yeah, I expect some big names will go to FA in February & may not get signed even then. 

  • Author

Fully expect the Bombers to stroke several names off their list this week... 

  • Author

the PA isn't going to like hearing that, but if administration costs go down in equal measure, it should at least be more palatable...

BLM said a few weeks ago that he is willing to take a pay cut to make it work with the Stamps financially. Mike Reilly meanwhile is suiing the Lions saying his salary is guaranteed. One player gets it. The other in his late 30's lives in a fantasy world in Seattle. BLM may be a head case at times but there's no doubt he is committed to the Stampders while Reilly just wants to get paid & will go where the money is best. Pandemic or no pandemic. Season or no season. 

Edited by SpeedFlex27

4 hours ago, Noeller said:

the PA isn't going to like hearing that, but if administration costs go down in equal measure, it should at least be more palatable...

It's not like they will be surprised by it. Some players have been openly accepting of the idea (BLM, Tyrell Sutton).

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