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Week 9 - Cal.@ Ssk., Ott.@ Tor.

CFL Trends and Highlights - Week 9

Defence Re-Emerges: Week 8 was a great week for the defence for most teams as net offence averaged only a combined 561 yards per game – the lowest average yards allowed per game in any week since 2002.

No Air Space: Calgary forced Ottawa into 11 straight 2-&-outs and 11 consecutive incomplete passes in their 48-3 win.

Negative Yards: In a stretch of 7 drives, Edmonton limited Montreal to -1 yard.

Limited Yards: Winnipeg held Toronto to just 72 yards of offence in the second half but lost on the strength of an Argo punt return TD.

Shut it Down: Hamilton started by forcing BC into 5 straight 2-&-outs and 36 net yards on BC’s first 7 possessions.

Long-range Field Goals: Last year, only three clubs made a 50+ yard field goal. In 2015, six teams have already at least one. From 50+ yards in 2015, CFL kickers are 11-of-14 (78.6%). What is odd is that from 40-49 yards they are only 32-of-46 (69.6%). In 2014, there were only 14 tries from 50+ yards made in 81 games and just 7 were made (50%).

Penalties Update to Week #8: With only 75 penalties, Week #8 averaged just 18.8 calls per game. That is the lowest of the 2015 season and lower than any total from the first 8 weeks of 2014. The cumulative penalty average year-to-date dropped for the 7th straight week to 25.06 per game.

Red Zone Defence vs Winning: The Top 4 Red Zone Defences in the CFL (Edmonton, Toronto, Calgary and Ottawa) have a combined TD% allowed rate of 46% and a W-L record of 19-9 .679. They have turned back more than half of the opposition chances inside the 20-yard line. The remaining clubs are at 60% only in Red Zone Defence with a 13-23 .361 W-L record.

Hamilton’s Fast Starts: Hamilton has started fast for the second consecutive week with 21-0 margins after the 1st Quarter. It was only the second time in 107 years of our history that any team had ever had consecutive leads of 21+ points after 15:00 of play. Only Winnipeg in August 1994 with 21-0 and then 25-0 leads in back-to-back weeks at the end of the 1st Quarter had ever achieved that feat.

QB Sacks / Drives with Sacks: Last week there were 34 sacks, the most in any week in 2015. Updating the number of drives where a club allowed a sack: now up to 154 possessions with at least one QS allowed and only 3 TDs made on them (1.9% TD rate). Sacks have doubled since the beginning of the season – Weeks #1-6: 4.1 per game; Weeks #7-8: 8.1, almost twice as many.

2-Point Converts: The convert choices made by teams has taken a very odd turn in the last 3 weeks with kicks dominating. Despite the 73% two-point success rate, in the last 12 games teams have elected to kick after 50 of the 54 touchdowns scored, or about 8% of the time going for two. That sounds a lot like the 6.4% election rate for two-point converts in 2014 (23 of 359).

Saskatchewan’s Injured List: Looking at their Week #7 roster provides some insight into Saskatchewan’s record. They had 15 players sit out the Aug 8/15 loss who have a combined 927 games (626 starts) of prior CFL experience. In those players, Saskatchewan was missing a total of 626 career starts – almost half as many as the 46-man roster that were active. A good comparison can be made to BC’s roster last week – just 7 players on the IL with a combined 55 career starts.

Third Down Gambles: Results in 3rd-and-1 situations this season have shown a marked change from the last few years with a much lower success rate. The trend shows a drop from 84% success rate in 2013 to just 63% in 2015.

Plenty of QBs: Last week, 15 different quarterbacks ran at least one possession week highlighting the need for depth at that position. With the debut start of Winnipeg’s Robert Marve, in 2015 there have been 14 different QBs start at least one game.

Comebacks – 8 from 10+ points: In 2015 there have already been 8 teams come back from deficits of 10 points or more. By team: Toronto 2, Calgary 2, BC 2, Ottawa 1 and Edmonton 1. Last year there were only 12 all season.

Saskatchewan Takeaways a record low: The Riders have just 2 takeaways this year (one interception and one on downs). The all-time CFL season-low is held by Edmonton in 2006 with 25. Saskatchewan will have to create 2.1 opponent turnovers per game the rest of the way just to reach that mark this year.

Montreal at BC Aug 20th

BC at home vs Montreal: The Lions have won 13 of the last 14 Montreal visits by a combined score of 491 to 253. In the last 4 Montreal visits BC’s average margin of victory has been by 33 points. (163-30). The Lions’ two best home records against any rivals come against the Alouettes at 26-8-1 in 35 games and Ottawa at 22-5-2.

Close Losses: The Alouettes have a current 3-game road losing streak, by margins of 2, 3 & 3 points. This is the first time in all of Montreal club history they have had three such narrow defeats in a row on the road. In all three defeats, Montreal outscored their opponent in the 4th Quarter, but fell just short.

Lulay Loves B.C. Place Stadium: In his career as the Lions’ starting QB, Travis Lulay has compiled a record of 23-7 in his 30 home starts. His first 9 starts were at Empire Field and BC went 4-5. At B.C. Place however, the Lions are 19-2 in his 21 starts including 2-1 this season after the 26-23 win over Edmonton last time out at home.

Plays from scrimmage gap: Last week, Montreal’s defence was on the field for 65 plays compared to their opponent at just 44 plays. Over the last two games, Montreal’s defence has racked up 133 plays to the opposition at just 97. The TOP gap over those two games was 33:57 to 26:03.

First drive TD specialists: The Lions have three opening game TD drives in 2015 and Montreal has two. Their combined total of 5 is one less than the entire rest of the CFL has generated.

Harris fumbles: The CFL’s leading rusher was the focus of Hamilton’s defence and they forced him into two fumbles. It was the third time in his CFL career that he has fumbled twice in the same game. Those turnovers turned out to be key as BC lost each game by at least 13 points: Aug 13/11 (17-30 to Wpg), Jul 30/13 (12-38 to Tor), and Aug 15/15 (22-52 to Ham). It is notable however that those were the first two fumbles BC has lost all season in 2015.

Rakeem Cato: Got off to fast start in his CFL career with wins in 2 of his first 3 starts and a passer rating of 105.9 in that 3-game stretch. Over the last 3 games, he is 0-3 with a passer rating of 80.5. he has thrown 4 interceptions in his last 3 games.

Booming Bede: The Montreal rookie punter is averaging 46.0 yards on 44 punts and 13 of those have gone for 50+ yards. Terry Baker holds the Als’ record for a single season average at 47.4 yards (1999). Kickoffs is where Bede has really excelled as he is averaging 73.0 yards which is on pace to break the CFL record. That is 67.9 yards per kickoff set by Jamie Boreham in 2010.

Making History: On September 12, 2014 against the Eskimos in Edmonton, Alouettes receiver S.J. Green became the seventh player in team history to reach the 5,000-receiving yards mark.

Moving Up: On August 1 against his former team, Nik Lewis caught three passes, allowing him to climb into ninth place all-time in the CFL for career receptions. His 11,482 receivng yards place him 11th all-time in CFL history only 143 yards shy of the tenth spot which belongs to Arland Bruce III.

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  • They havnt had it that easy. MIssing 5 regulars last night. And not including at least two starters on defense lost in training camp..   To suggest that havnt faced any adversity is flat out wrong.

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Hamilton isn't exactly dominate on the road and Edmonton's defense is better at home. Could be interesting.

I hope they add the facemask penalty although it can only be called if it directly lead to the turnover iirc.

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I'm watching this game on PVR, but I have to ask, with the score 42-14, 2:55 left in the 3rd quarter, why is Collaros still in the game?

If I want that Joseph Aboud suit I am going to have to go all Ticats from now on. Watching them dominate like this is taking me back to the days of Warren Moon in Edmonton...

Any guy who wants a Joseph Aboud suit has to be a Ryan Seacrest skinny rake clone & able to  run down stairs like Clark Kent looking for a phone booth.

 

If I want that Joseph Aboud suit I am going to have to go all Ticats from now on. Watching them dominate like this is taking me back to the days of Warren Moon in Edmonton...

Any guy who wants a Joseph Aboud suit has to be a Ryan Seacrest skinny rake clone & able to  run down stairs like Clark Kent looking for a phone booth.

 

...Or, y'know, just be even a little bit in shape....either way.....

What a boring game. I was hoping for a tight defensive struggle. Boy was I disappointed.

 

Edmonton fumbled and threw Int's. 7 or was it 8 turnovers ain't going to get you a win no matter how well your defense plays and they didn't play that well either.

I'd start Franklin from now on if I was Edmonton. Other than the INT that he threw off his back foot while getting hit and that botched snap that he tried to hand off way too high, he had a good game IMO.

 

Hamilton absolutely owned Edmonton in Edmonton. Collaros looks like the league's MVP QB. Their attacking defence is relentless and their special teams are great. Short of some more big name injuries they look like they are destined to be GC champs... but it's still early and other teams could catch up.

It's going to be sweet watching the ticats inevitable collapse. That team is so arrogant and so cocky and things are coming so easily right now, it won't last. 

 

Oh, come on. Dont spoil the party so soon. 

  • Author

I'm with you guys on this one. Things are coming way too easily for the TiCats right now. Probably 4 times they have had leads gifted to them that have made it fairly easy to coast the rest of the games. Now you can argue that their defence and STs have enabled them to get these breaks and bounces, and to an extent, I would agree, but I really have never seen anything like it. No way can that continue. Bounces have a way of evening out over the course of the year.

Hamilton have played lights out and deserve to be considered #1 at this point, but....

And their QB, he has full control of their offence and is driving it smoothly like a Ferrari on an open road. It's almost too easy.

Buy hey, it wouldn't take much to throw speed bumps on that road. Somebody will figure them out. They still have a long road ahead of them.

Right now Collaros is looking like the best QB in the league and Austin looks like the shoo-in for the Coach of the Year. I really can't see any weaknesses in the team, except maybe their running game which may be a problem in cold weather. The 'Cats are full value for their record.

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