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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

On 2021-10-25 at 7:22 AM, rebusrankin said:

Interesting that they didn't give Marcel till season's end before doing this. Lapo to TSN for 2022?

Why wait? Once you have determined a GM is crap there is no point holding onto him any longer. Coaches are different, it's tough to make a mid season change and probably won't help anything competitively but replacing your GM is something that should be done at the soonest point it becomes apparent it is necessary. Lots of groundwork can be done right now to set up the future.

3 minutes ago, Geebrr said:

The Toronto Argonauts have traded quarterback Nick Arbuckle to the Edmonton Elks, per sources.

In exchange for Arbuckle the Argos receive a third round selection in the 2022 CFL Draft which could be upgraded to a second round choice if the 28-year-old re-signs in the Alberta Capital.

Wow....that's cheap. Not a QB seller market this year.

21 minutes ago, Bomber_fanaddict said:

Just in time for the Riders to play them twice. Arby won’t save their season but he could make it difficult for some teams as they jockey into those final positions. 

Can't wait to hear the excuses and ya buts when the Elks win one of those games with Arbuckle at QB. It will go something along the lines of it's not fair that we have to play them after they get a franchise QB. 

5 minutes ago, GCn20 said:

Wow....that's cheap. Not a QB seller market this year.

I think the trade is fair for both side.

Edmonton need a experienced QB other than what they have now. And Arbuckle will be their most experienced QB and have won games. 

On the other hand, Arbuckle never really established himself as the bonafide starter in Toronto and was beaten by McBeth. It's been known for few weeks now that Argos is shopping him. 

Arbuckle must really be a dink if nobody wants to keep him around.   

No. He just want to beat Kevin Glenn's record. 😅

How can we put a Ambroise-helping-the-Bombers twist here? 😆

Edited by M.O.A.B.

https://3downnation.com/2021/10/26/during-his-time-in-ottawa-lazy-narratives-emerged-about-former-redblacks-gm-marcel-desjardins/

 

I'm pretty sure this was already posted but 3downnation really throwing all the blame on LaPo for this season.   

 

Quote

More recently, Desjardins went out of his way to provide Paul LaPolice with players he was familiar with. The jettisoning of Nick Arbuckle in favour of Matt Nichols came at the request of his head coach. Running back Timothy Flanders, receiver Daniel Petermann and tackles Na’Ty Rodgers and Juwan Bushell-Beatty were all with LaPolice in Winnipeg. All have been negative impact players in Ottawa.

 

After Brad Sinopoli retired, per sources, Ottawa’s front office felt uncomfortable with the youth at the position and wanted to add veterans. LaPolice informed Desjardins he didn’t want to add names like S.J. Green, Ricky Collins and Naaman Roosevelt because his offence didn’t need veteran receivers to be effective.

 

30 minutes ago, Bomber_fanaddict said:

Just in time for the Riders to play them twice. Arby won’t save their season but he could make it difficult for some teams as they jockey into those final positions. 

He might drag them into the playoffs. It wouldn't surprise me.

Sounds like Desjardins trying to blame someone else for his failure as a GM. Not a surprise, that's his MO. 

But, even the Argos didn't want Arbuckle. 

Duane Forde is interested in RedBlacks' vacant GM position. I would think he's OK with Lapo as the HC if ever he gets that job. 

Edited by M.O.A.B.

41 minutes ago, M.O.A.B. said:

Duane Forde is interested in RedBlacks' vacant GM position. I would think he's OK with Lapo as the HC if ever he gets that job. 

Is there a CFL job Forde isn't interested in? That's quite a step down from the commissioner duties he wanted though. Honestly though, seems like every time a GM spot opens up the media bandies around his name as a dark horse and he promptly doesn't get a sniff.

57 minutes ago, M.O.A.B. said:

I think the trade is fair for both side.

Edmonton need a experienced QB other than what they have now. And Arbuckle will be their most experienced QB and have won games. 

On the other hand, Arbuckle never really established himself as the bonafide starter in Toronto and was beaten by McBeth. It's been known for few weeks now that Argos is shopping him. 

Arbuckle is getting paid big loot and just wasn't consistent enough to beat out MBT. However, he still represents a big upgrade for Edmonton.

Edited by GCn20

57 minutes ago, Brandon said:

Arbuckle must really be a dink if nobody wants to keep him around.   

Dressing room and SMS move for sure, but not because Arbuckle is a dink though. QB controversies can be tough in a locker room and Dinwiddie likely just wanted to end it in Toronto and give MBT a vote of confidence heading down the stretch.

No way he could be the backup, with that contract............

Most of Arbuckle's money has already been paid. IIRC his signing bonus was like half his yearly salary.

2 hours ago, Brandon said:

Arbuckle must really be a dink if nobody wants to keep him around.   

Or not vaxxed 

2 hours ago, M.O.A.B. said:

Duane Forde is interested in RedBlacks' vacant GM position. I would think he's OK with Lapo as the HC if ever he gets that job. 

Yes keep the coach who the gm u just fired for being incompetent hired. 

I mean 

The lapo love needs to end. It's quite apparent he's not a good head coach 

Ottawa needs a complete and total retooling top to bottom. 

Only coach I'd keep is Dyce at this moment. 

Lapo Benevides to TsN 

 

  • Author

a lot of you have a much higher opinion of Arbuckle than I do. Other than a couple games in Calgary's system last year, and catching us on our worst day this year....what exactly has he done? He's looked shitty more often than he's looked good since leaving Calgary. I don't know that he really does much for the L'ks....

16 minutes ago, Goalie said:

Or not vaxxed 

Yes keep the coach who the gm u just fired for being incompetent hired. 

I mean 

The lapo love needs to end. It's quite apparent he's not a good head coach 

Ottawa needs a complete and total retooling top to bottom. 

Only coach I'd keep is Dyce at this moment. 

Lapo Benevides to TsN 

 

From the news yesterday, the RedBlacks wants to keep Lapo. Added to the fact that there's a personnel cap space they're considering. 
So it would really make sense for them hire a GM that will agree on keeping Lapo. 

Does it make sense for us? No. Do we care? No. 

Lapo is 18 and 37 as a head coach, 8 and 29 if you take out 2011. Guy is not a good head coach.

3 minutes ago, rebusrankin said:

Lapo is 18 and 37 as a head coach, 8 and 29 if you take out 2011. Guy is not a good head coach.

Why would you take out 2011? If he owns the losses he also owns the wins. It's only fair. He got a crap team in 2010 and again this year in Ottawa. I'm not suggesting he is a great HC, far from it, but one has to admit he has walked into two HC jobs on teams that were a dumpster fire.

5 minutes ago, GCn20 said:

Why would you take out 2011? If he owns the losses he also owns the wins. It's only fair. He got a crap team in 2010 and again this year in Ottawa. I'm not suggesting he is a great HC, far from it, but one has to admit he has walked into two HC jobs on teams that were a dumpster fire.

My point was that he has a lousy record and its even worse if you take out the one good season meaning he's generally been pretty bad. If Marcel's comments are true about bringing in guys Lapo wanted and him not wanting vets at WR, it shows the arrogance that others have mentioned.

2 minutes ago, rebusrankin said:

My point was that he has a lousy record and its even worse if you take out the one good season meaning he's generally been pretty bad. If Marcel's comments are true about bringing in guys Lapo wanted and him not wanting vets at WR, it shows the arrogance that others have mentioned.

Desjardins has done no work for years and the team shows it. He's arrogant. 

4 minutes ago, JCon said:

Desjardins has done no work for years and the team shows it. He's arrogant. 

I agree with this. Also think Lapo is not a good head coach.

Just now, rebusrankin said:

I agree with this. Also think Lapo is not a good head coach.

Both can be true. 

I would like to see Lapo given a chance to build a team with a competent GM before I make a final judgement. 

Joe and Marcel don't inspire confidence. 

6 minutes ago, JCon said:

Desjardins has done no work for years and the team shows it. He's arrogant. 

Nah, only LaPolice is. All the arrogance in the CFL belongs to him. /s

Seriously, though, I agree. Desjardins did little to nothing to retain talent or a balanced roster, and I don't think any HC could've done much better. FWIW, LaPolice probably gets a season or two to get the team back on track.

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