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Playoff possibilities - Week 15


TrueBlue4ever

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Winnipeg  - has clinched first place, first round bye, and will host Wast Final

Saskatchewan - can clinch playoff spot with a win AND a BC loss AND an Edmonton loss or tie. 

Calgary - no clinching or elimination possibility this week

BC - no clinching or elimination possibility this week, but can finish no better than 3rd with a loss AND a Saskatchewan win

Edmonton - eliminated from playoff contention with a loss AND a Calgary win AND a win or tie by Saskatchewan


Montreal - can clinch a playoff spot with a win AND a Calgary loss or a win AND a BC loss

Toronto - can clinch a playoff spot with a win AND a Calgary loss or a win AND a BC loss

Hamilton - no clinching or elimination possibility this week

Ottawa - eliminated from playoff contention

Edited by TrueBlue4ever
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12 hours ago, BBlink said:

Would be awesome but I can't see it happening :(

Their 4 games remaining are away at TOR and EDM. And hosting BC and SSK. All of those teams still have something to play for, even EDM. Not impossible but yeah, unlikely.

Thankfully, they play EDM this week... Before they are eliminated from playoff contention.

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  • TrueBlue4ever changed the title to Playoff possibilities - Week 14

Week 14 scenarios:

Winnipeg  - 1st place

Saskatchewan - clinched a playoff spot. Can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win and a Calgary tie or loss, OR a tie and a Calgary loss

Calgary - can clinch a playoff spot with a win and a B.C. loss or tie, OR a tie and a B.C. loss

BC - would be eliminated from crossover playoff contention with a loss OR a win by either Hamilton or Montreal. Would be eliminated from Western playoff contention with a loss and a Calgary win or tie, OR a tie and a Calgary win. 

Edmonton - eliminated

Toronto - clinched a playoff spot. No further clinching possibilities this week. 

Hamilton - can clinch a playoff spot with a win OR a BC loss OR a tie and a BC tie

Montreal - can clinch a playoff spot with a win OR a BC loss OR a tie and a BC tie

Ottawa - eliminated

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3 hours ago, Geebrr said:

BC is out it is all positioning for the teams in playoff spots now.
Saskatchewan wants third because home teams never win, so it is really just the East.

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

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28 minutes ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

If that 3 way tie occurred (and Calgary would go 1-1, not 0-2, but would have to lose to BC), BC would still be out. The tiebreaker would be head-to-head-to head wins. Sask would be 3-2 (2-0 vs BC, 1-2 vs Cal), Cal would be 3-3 (2-1 vs Sask, would be 1-2 with another loss against BC) and BC would be 2-3 (0-2 vs Sask, 2-1 vs Cal). If BC and Cal end up tied in points, NC could still win out if they win the season series. As for the crossover, BC is almost down there as if either of Montreal or Hamilton win, they are done. BC can still lose one game but then Calgary would need to be winless for them to be tied. And Calgary can win one and BC is still alive if they win out. But odds are long in BC, and last week’s loss to Toronto was a real dagger. 

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1 hour ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

I know what I said.

They're out

 

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15 hours ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

mathematically they are alive... realistically, they are done...

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  • TrueBlue4ever changed the title to Playoff possibilities - Week 15

Week 15 scenarios- 

Winnipeg - top of the heap

Saskatchewan - clinched playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win or a tie OR a BC win or tie against Calgary

Calgary - can clinch a playoff spot with a win or tie against BC, still in contention for 2nd place

BC - will be eliminated with a tie or loss against Calgary, can finish no higher than 3rd

Edmonton - out of playoffs, will finish last with a loss and a BC win or tie OR a tie and a BC win

Toronto - clinched a playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff date with a Montreal loss or tie, can clinch 1st with a win or tie against Hamilton. Toronto can still finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd.

Hamilton - clinched a playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win OR a Montreal loss OR a tie and a Montreal tie. Hamilton can still finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd. 

Montreal - clinched a playoff spot, cannot finish higher than 2nd, but can pass either Hamilton or Toronto (just not both). Will finish 3rd with a loss OR a tie and a Hamilton tie or win. 

Ottawa - bottom of the barrel. 

Edited by TrueBlue4ever
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