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2021 (??) CFL Season

https://www.tsn.ca/naylor-many-questions-but-few-answers-on-a-2021-cfl-season-1.1543725

The Canadian Football League has been outrageously quiet since it pulled the plug on its season more than two months ago, leaving behind a wake of speculation about where things are headed next.

With the reality setting in that COVID-19 is likely to still be around in some form next summer, there is real concern about what the 2021 season might look like or if it will occur at all.

There are teams that believe it is vitally important to play in 2021 and that without a season the CFL is in danger of being mothballed. Whether every team believes that is another question. And there is a lot to sort out before anyone can accurately predict what a season might look like and how much pain the teams are collectively willing to stomach to make it happen.

The league and its franchises are currently running through various scenarios for next season, trying to get a handle on true costs of each and working at ways to trim budgets and save money. That’s likely to continue until the league can truly choose a course of action, which feels like next April at the earliest.

Why? Well, there’s not much point in fully committing to a scenario that’s seven months away if that scenario might be totally unrealistic by the time you get there.

There has been no 2021 business plan presented yet, only regular updates to the presidents and governors about what the league is doing to prepare for the unknown.

It should be noted that teams will need to make decisions about retaining assistant coaches with expiring contracts by December, which will be the first real economic commitments to a 2021 season. Restrictions on signing players will need to be lifted well before the opening of February free agency, where players are likely to meet a cautious market – one in which signing bonuses will probably be absent.

There’s a collective bargaining agreement to amend, if not renegotiate, with the players, which will require some kind of pressure point because it always does. But the league can’t sit down with the players until it gets a true handle on revenues and it can’t do that until it chooses a course of action.

Will CFL teams be allowed to have full stadiums next summer? It doesn't seem likely. But just what percentage of capacity will be allowed – if any at all – is impossible to guess. It seems as if the league is counting on the restrictions that currently prevent fans from being in stadiums being lifted. But to what degree?

When will we see a schedule? Good question. Or could we see multiple schedules for different scenarios? Never say never.

Could it be a 21-week, 18-game season played in home stadiums? Unlikely, given the losses teams are expected to take with reduced numbers of fans in the stands. Could we see a return to the 10-week bubble? Maybe. A nine-game schedule played in home stadiums before fans? Perhaps.

The point is no one knows, so demanding answers to questions that can’t possibly be answered right now is a waste of time.

All we know is that there’s going to be a lot less revenue for teams to operate with under any scenario, not just because of crowd restrictions but also due to older fans choosing to stay home for their safety. The CFL’s fan demographics do it no favours in this regard.

Getting consensus on a best course of action won’t be easy for the CFL’s nine teams. Back in the summer, there were teams that were willing to play without government support and teams that weren’t. And just like then, the biggest challenge commissioner Randy Ambrosie faces now is finding a scenario they can all live with.

Adopting a revenue-sharing model so that each team absorbs the same amount of red ink would certainly make consensus-building easier, which many believe should be the direction for the future, COVID-19 or not.

The other elephant in the room is federal government, which many in the CFL believe left it high and dry last summer after months of back-and-forth talks where the league believed it was making progress.

Is the CFL prepared to go down that road again, knowing it doesn’t control the timeline and larger forces can change things in an instant? Perhaps, although it’s not as though the feds don’t have a long list of people coming at them with their hands out.

There will be voices demanding the owners suck up the losses of playing a season under any circumstance, as owners have done in other sports. But the business calculation in sports such as MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA is different because of the percentage of revenues those leagues derive from television.

Losses sustained by playing in those leagues can also be viewed as investments towards protecting massive franchise values. That’s not the case in the CFL, where teams can’t just float money on the backs of their franchise values, and where one third of the teams are publicly owned.

It would be beneficial for the league to soon announce its formal commitment to play some kind of season in 2021.

But beyond that, get ready for months more of waiting with lots of questions and speculation but very few answers.

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Featured Replies

  • Author
28 minutes ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

I did not realize the league needed to give permission to allow betting on it. 

That is my understanding of the situation. But the gambling houses make so much ******* money... They pay each of the leagues a pile of money and it's still only a fraction of what they're taking in. It's really quite the racket... 

26 minutes ago, Noeller said:

That is my understanding of the situation. But the gambling houses make so much ******* money... They pay each of the leagues a pile of money and it's still only a fraction of what they're taking in. It's really quite the racket... 

Do you know if the Government gets a cut? I mean, they did need to approve it in a bill. Would seem to be a good tax revenue stream for them. 

58 minutes ago, Noeller said:

That is my understanding of the situation. But the gambling houses make so much ******* money... They pay each of the leagues a pile of money and it's still only a fraction of what they're taking in. It's really quite the racket... 

It’s money from sponsorships to be the official betting partner for cfl or individual teams or from cfl selling it’s statistical data to gambling companies but with this I am not sure cfl has much in terms of next generation stats.

  • Author

I'm not one for sports wagering... I absolutely do not understand the random numbers that Hustler is always talking about...... All I know is the league and its member clubs are expected to net 15-20 million from this, with each club getting around 2 million.... Based on estimates. 

Just what I've read on Twitter via CFL News and other feeds... 

Additional retirements.

Natey Adjei 
Taylor Loffler 

Brad Sinopoli - huge loss for Lapo

  • Author

Bauming being cagey on Twitter, saying "there's more coming..." which may indicate some Bombers that haven't announced yet. Very curious to see....

Going out on a limb to say Medlock will be in that “more to come” list. 
 

In the “came out of nowhere but yeah I guess it makes sense” group, I would put:

Pat Neufeld (aging, body beat up a lot, younger competition) 

Jake Thomas (stuck it out a long time to get that Cup, not playing full time in games, may want to go out on top),

Stanley Bryant (35, oldest on the team, punishing position, but his new contract makes this more surprising if it happens) 

Nick Taylor (at 33, oldest DB in a position that sees a lot of turnover and losing a step is a big hindrance)

And maybe a big surprise, but Andrew Harris (34, bruising position, more than any other player, going out on top would be very meaningful given the turmoil of the year, the fallout with opposing players and the media who called him out, getting revenge with the MOP and Canadian awards in the game, and capping his career with returning the championship to his hometown, like Bryant, the new contract signing would suggest he is fully prepared to come back, so this falls on the more shocking end of the spectrum)

All purely speculative with no evidence one way or another. Players do like their last memory to be a positive one for sure, and curious to see if some players get back to camp and the grind of it really hits home after a season off if they were wavering. We shall see.  

 

Edited by TrueBlue4ever

18 minutes ago, Noeller said:

Bauming being cagey on Twitter, saying "there's more coming..." which may indicate some Bombers that haven't announced yet. Very curious to see....

Hope not.

23 minutes ago, Noeller said:

Bauming being cagey on Twitter, saying "there's more coming..." which may indicate some Bombers that haven't announced yet. Very curious to see....

My hope is that anyone on the Bombers who is planning on retiring made that known to the organization weeks if not months ago.

25 minutes ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

Going out on a limb to say Medlock will be in that “more to come” list. 
 

In the “came out of nowhere but yeah I guess it makes sense” group, I would put:

Pat Neufeld (aging, body beat up a lot, younger competition) 

Jake Thomas (stuck it out a long time to get that Cup, not playing full time in games, may want to go out on top),

Stanley Bryant (35, oldest on the team, punishing position, but his new contract makes this more surprising if it happens) 

Nick Taylor (at 33, oldest DB in a position that sees a lot of turnover and losing a step is a big hindrance)

And maybe a big surprise, but Andrew Harris (34, bruising position, more than any other player, going out on top would be very meaningful given the turmoil of the year, the fallout with opposing players and the media who called him out, getting revenge with the MOP and Canadian awards in the game, and capping his career with returning the championship to his hometown, like Bryant, the new contract signing would suggest he is fully prepared to come back, so this falls on the more shocking end of the spectrum)

All purely speculative with no evidence one way or another. Players do like their last memory to be a positive one for sure, and curious to see if some players get back to camp and the grind of it really hits home after a season off if they were wavering. We shall see.  

 

I dont see harris calling it yet. My dark horse would be darvin adams. Hes had a lot of ups and downs, fought a bunch of injuries and the nfl window is closed. Hes a very physical blocker, and that takes a lot out of you.

The big thing thatll push guys to retirement though is their home life. Guys who got great jobs in the missing season and may not be able to return to it. 

12 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

I dont see harris calling it yet. My dark horse would be darvin adams. Hes had a lot of ups and downs, fought a bunch of injuries and the nfl window is closed. Hes a very physical blocker, and that takes a lot out of you.

The big thing thatll push guys to retirement though is their home life. Guys who got great jobs in the missing season and may not be able to return to it. 

Yeah, but he likes trash talking so much. I bet he sticks around in order to get in some more yapping. And, now that he's a Grey Cup Champion, he'll do it even more. 

13 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

I dont see harris calling it yet. My dark horse would be darvin adams. Hes had a lot of ups and downs, fought a bunch of injuries and the nfl window is closed. Hes a very physical blocker, and that takes a lot out of you.

The big thing thatll push guys to retirement though is their home life. Guys who got great jobs in the missing season and may not be able to return to it. 

I'd bet a years salary Harris is one of the first guys to show up for camp. No change he's done. And Adams has posted videos of him doing football drills on his IG. 

I could see Neuf calling it. I don't think Bryant is done just yet. He wants to build a legacy here. 

  • Author

the Bombers posted a pic on their social media of Adams getting his vaccine, so he'd be ready to go....encouraging fans to do likewise. Don't think DA is done yet. Neufeld has been quoted in recent Tait pieces as being really fired up and ready to go, so don't think he's calling it just yet. What will be interesting of course, is how many guys THINK they're ready to go, but when they actually get into 2-A-Day's, realize that they just don't have the legs anymore....

2 minutes ago, Bigblue204 said:

I'd bet a years salary Harris is one of the first guys to show up for camp. No change he's done. And Adams has posted videos of him doing football drills on his IG. 

I could see Neuf calling it. I don't think Bryant is done just yet. He wants to build a legacy here. 

I dont think we are gonna see any regular guy other than medlock call it. 

1 minute ago, wbbfan said:

I dont think we are gonna see any regular guy other than medlock call it. 

I hope you're right. AND I hope Mitchell has a change of heart

2 hours ago, Bigblue204 said:

I hope you're right. AND I hope Mitchell has a change of heart

That would be nice. 

The great job Walters did in the off season to re-sign our key players will play a big part in players wanting to stick around for another run....No guarantees we will repeat BUT we sure have a good shot at another title with the solid corps still in place...I'm sure any players entertaining retirement will run that around in their head before pulling the pin...I don't think, that other than Meds., we'll see an exit of any of our key talent

5 hours ago, M.O.A.B. said:

Hopefully no retirements for the Bombers 🤞

We had one that I know of. Bryant Mitchell. According to a certain poster here they didn't retire. They quit & don't deserve anyone celebrating their careers. They're all losers, he says. 

 

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Edited by SpeedFlex27

10 minutes ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

We had one that I know of. Bryant Mitchell. According to a certain poster here they didn't retire. They quit & don't deserve anyone celebrating their careers. They're all losers, he says. 

 

You need to let go of that dude. Go back and re-read what I actually said.

Screw you. You said what you said & now you're backing off? At least own it & what you said. Don't be a wimp denying it like a coward. I hate entitled fans like you thinking players owe you something when they don't.

 

Edited by SpeedFlex27

Just now, SpeedFlex27 said:

Screw yiou. You said what you said & now you're backing off? At least own it & what you said. Don't be a wimp denying it like a coward. I hate entitled fans like you thinking players owe you something when they don't.

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