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Lock of the Week 3 (**UPDATED RESULTS**)

Post picks below. Results will be up later today.

 

2 Strikes

 

sweep the leg Taynted_Fayth Atomic StudentSection Blueandgold nate007 Englewood Y2C Chaosmonkey Rod Black ronnan brett_c_b Valderan_CA Cam P Born2BBlue

 

1 Strike

 

Noller Holoman M.O.A.B. Doublezero WBBFanWest Duressler47 mbrg bigg jay kelownabomberfan Jimmy Pop Detroit Guy Tburgess Nighthawk tacklewasher retro Bigblue204 Logan007 saskbluefan fan4life Jpan85 TrueBlue4ever Cam Mark F 17to85 TrueBlue northof60 DioBrando IC Khari tracker shadybob rebusrankin

 

No Strikes

MOBomberFan SpuDS gbill2004 Jesse Goalie Mike Jacquie bearpants SteMar_67 Fraser
  • Replies 65
  • Views 4.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Most Popular Posts

  • Under the advice of my attorney, I will change my pick to Sutton which sounds a lot like Messam and my hearing isn't what it once was thanks Obama.       It's about predictability and probability

  • Chaosmonkey
    Chaosmonkey

    Bastien. 

  • For those who chose Ryan Smith:   Murray McCormick @murraylp Receiver Ryan Smith is out for Friday's game versus Lions. #riders.  

Featured Replies

Andrew Harris

 

 

smith?

ok, cotton then.

 

 

He's wondering which Smith you're referring to. I assume you mean Ryan Smith.

 

Oh yea, like there'd be more than one guy named Smith....

Cotton

Cornish

He didn't score in their first game, can't see him being shut out again.  Andrew Harris. 

Cornish

Anthony Allen

Bastien.

This must be from the Joe Mack school of lock of the week? :)

Andrew Harris.

Cam Marshall

Ryan Smith

Anthony Allen

 

I'd be cautious about Allen. He didn't get many carries last game. Messam is probably a safer pick.

Andrew Harris

adarius bowman

Cotton

Jon Cornish

Changing pick to Cornish.

gbill says marshall, therefore so do I.

Ryan Smith

Ryan SMith out this week so I'm changing to Terrell Sutton

I'm going Harris this week.  Sask has a hard time stopping the run.

Harris

Cotton

 

 

Anthony Allen

 

I'd be cautious about Allen. He didn't get many carries last game. Messam is probably a safer pick.

 

 

 

Under the advice of my attorney, I will change my pick to Sutton which sounds a lot like Messam and my hearing isn't what it once was thanks Obama.

 

 

I am saddene by suttons popularity this week.. Hope this goes up on the bulletin board on chancellor drive lol :)


(And yes I know it's not an unfounded reason behind his popularity.. If I was a betting man, I'd pick him too.. But alas, gotta root fer the underdogs!)

 

It's about predictability and probability, not pessimism.  The chances of Montreal not scoring a single touchdown are low, the chances that the run game will be a significant part of their gameplan with a rookie QB is high, and Sutton is the leading rusher in the league.  And sadly, the Bombers are allowing the second most rushing yards per game so far.  The chances that Sutton will be part of a Montreal rushing TD are high.  I'd say 80%.  The Bombers on the other hand use two RBs, both of whom have TDs, and have shown a tendency to run Marve as well in goal line situations.  So the chances that Cotton is part of a Bombers rushing TD is much lower.  Maybe 45%.  Cotton gets the ball all the way down to the 2, then Marshall gets to finish the job, that kind of thing.  I'd still have the Bombers as slight favourites to win the game.  If they could ever establish any kind of homefield advantage they'd be more than slight favourites.

 

I usually stay away from picking anyone in the Bomber games just to remove emotional bias from the equation, but I'm done using my thinkity thoughts on football today and just getting this done.  Brain is taking an early weekend.

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