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66 Chevelle

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Posts posted by 66 Chevelle

  2. GDT-Stumps @ Bombers

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

    The question is has the change come to cover for holes in nichols game right now? 

    Make no mistake, Nichols hasn't gotten any better or any worse skill wise game to game... however, his performance/success is effected by play calling... and it works both ways... so, in essence Nichols and Lapo are each other's 'ride or die'... the difference is, Nichols can only be as good as the game plan Lapo gives him... Lapo tries to manage Nichols thru play calling instead of managing the game in front of him...

    Lapo gets spooked of Nichols abilities and or his weaknesses, because lets be honest here, everyone knows that Nichols' 'pros'; he generally makes good decisions with the ball and has good short range accuracy, 'cons'; decent arm strength, at least good enough to make all of the throws, inconsistent with the deep throws, and not very mobile. This is no secret and everyone has been saying it all the way back to his 2010 NFL draft profile...

    this assessment is my own personal opinion but I think it tends to prove itself out... Nichols tends to be a momentum type QB, meaning, if he gets off to a hot start he tends to stay hot, conversely, if he starts out cold/bad it tends to follow him thru the game as well... I think it's pretty obvious that it gets to his head, when hot; quick. decisive, and good throw... when not; gets happy feet, bails on the pocket, makes quick, check down throws...

    this next one is one that Nichols freely admits, at least this first part... he's so worried about throwing a pic and turning over the ball... it's really gets to him... to me, it's one of the reasons why we either see him not make a throw, check down all of the time, or throw it 20 yards out of bounds...

    Now Lapo knows all of these issues, abilities, lack there of, etc. and comes up with these game plans that we've labeled the 'dink and dunk' because it hits high marks on a lot of traditional stats, like, completion % and low interception numbers...  this type of game plan plays into Nichols' strengths, but what it doesn't do is take into consideration the other play makers strength or yield a lot of production...  So sure, Nichols can go 22/28, 200 yds, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs... and everyone is screaming 'look how good he is!'

    but that offense is full of screens, check downs, all of the receivers trying to run routes 'in the box', and running routes that basically have the receivers finding a spot to sit down in the defense to present a target or the slant or out... yeah, we do have 'success' in this offense, because the defense has no issue allowing these type of plays, ones that are in front of them and under the chains... they'll give you that all night long because it generates a lot of 2 and outs, or 3 and outs, few yards allowed, and a bunch of punts...

    but in doing so, where basically throwing away receiver attributes that you can't coach; height and speed... in a league where most DBs or 6' or less, we're not exploiting Matthew's 6'5" advantage over a much shorter DB, or, Whitehead's 4.3 speed against DB that are trying to guess which direction he may go and keep up with him... or Darvin's combination of both... or physical build of players like Demski and Woli... every receiver gets dumbed down to Nichols' strengths...

    Lapo gets so worked up over this 'ball control' thing and his fear of Nichols accuracy or possible INTs he thinks he's doing everyone a favor with this game plan and can't seem to see that the more aggressive and dynamic game plan that has receivers playing to their strengths instead of Nichols' weaknesses is a lot more productive overall.  Sure maybe Nichols' completion percentage goes down some and he probably throws a few more INTS, but when having receivers running routes at varied depths, using receivers to move defenders we create more space, especially for YAC, larger throwing windows, favorable match up that maximizes receivers opportunities, more even ball distribution among play makers,  and lessens Nichols weaknesses. when you have success in this manner it only opens up the running game that much more and is even more successful than the dink and dunk... in the end you can have results like 300+ yards passing, 80+ yards of rushing. same or more TDs, many a lower percentage rate of completions and a few more INTs...

    in the end he may not string together 19 in a row, but, we'll have a more balanced attack and include more play makers and don't get bogged down into these 2 and outs with a ton of check downs... Nichols won't be a better passer, but, the better game plan doesn't exploit his weaknesses either, so he appears to be better than he actually is... we become a whole lots less predictable and a lot harder to actually stop... you can still win the TOP battle at least break even on turn overs but be able to move the ball when you need to and win more games...

  4. Neighborhood Flags

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    I was disappointed to see that they didn't offer a plain Winnipeg flag for those of us out of the area... I know they sell them in the store but I live over 1,000 miles away... was planning on picking one up this year at the Banjo Bowl, but, doesn't look I'm going to be able to make the trip this year... my passport burned up in a wicked truck fire over the 4th of July, lol...

  6. Regular Season Bomber News

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, M.O.A.B. said:
    Jeff Hamilton @jeffkhamilton

    #Bombers released linebacker and Winnipeg native DJ Lalama late Tuesday. Lalama was being re-assigned to the practice roster but respectfully refused, resulting in his release. Good guy with a strong work ethic. Hopefully see him on another CFL roster.

    don't blame him, life on the PR sucks for a player, especially if the writing is on the wall that you are more than likely going to be staying there...

  10. GDT-Stumps @ Bombers

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    4 hours ago, Brandon said:

    I posted the stats of how many 300 and 250 + yard games Nichols had in his career with the Blue and Gold.

    It's very clear that pre-injury Nichols pushed the ball down the field while post-injury Nichols has seen a sharp drop off on yards thrown.   

    I don't think it's a difference in play calling,  I think it's a QB that's either playing hurt and/or scared. 

    oh but it is... I talked about it in one of the other threads, but... we've reverted back to the dink and dunk, playing under the chains, Harris becoming the primary targeted receivers, and a crap load of check down passes... gone are the intermediate and deeper routes and passes, or, even involving more play makers in the game plan... and the out put shows... these are the total yards of offense by game/amt:  3/441 yds, 4/406 yds, 5/446 yds, followed by 6/324 yds, 7/344 yds, 8/297 yds...

  12. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, 17to85 said:

    So you're saying it's Lapos issue? I knew you would see it my way.

    in large part I agree with you... if you go back to the Hamilton game where Nichols had the 3 INTs you will see the offensive scheme start to shift back to the dink and dunk... lots of check downs... screens... playing under the chains on 2nd down once again... Harris being the most targeted... and the team sputtering along...

    if you go to the Game Tracker and look at the play by play you can actually see the shift... Lapo doesn't trust Nichols... or he's afraid to open things up because of the fear of turn overs due to Nichols accuracy issues on throw beyond 10 yards... sounds harsh but it's true... 

    however, Nichols did prove that with the larger throwing windows that were created by the varied and layered depth routes, he could make throws good enough to be successful...

  13. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    2 hours ago, 17to85 said:

    If it is so easy then why are the Bombers 6-2? Why have they won amongst the most games cumulatively the last few seasons? Why is Harris always one of the top yardage guys in the league? 

    Harris is the star of this offense, God damn rights they're going to use him a lot.

    because prior to the last 3 games, 2 of which we lost, Harris wasn't the primary targeted receiver... the ball was distributed more equally among the receivers... Harris still got some touches but not like the last 3 games...

    during the 3 games that Lapo was actually opening things up, games 3, 4, and 5, the offense was averaging 430 total yards of offense... the last three games where we were heavy run and Harris the most targeted receiver in the legendary 'dink and dunk' the offense averaged 305 total yards of offense... sure, Harris was putting up killer combined numbers for himself, but, as a team we were less productive and losing games... 

  14. Plop vs Nichols

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    12 hours ago, Mark H. said:

    Some of the stats quoted above do not compute.  Apparently we have 23 offensive TDs & 25 overall TDs.

    We had 2 TDs from special teams last game and the D has at least one pick 6 - what gives? 

    25 total TDs was prior to last weeks game... You can now make it 27 total TDs, 23 O, 1D, 3 kick...

  15. GDT-Stumps @ Bombers

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, 17to85 said:

    Well it's a counter point to all the people bitching about the throws that Nichols did miss (and really he only had 4 incompletions so...) It's just one example of a case where the quarterback gets the incomplete pass even though he did everything he possibly could have, it was up to the guy on the other end of the pass to finish the play. 

    People don't look at the entire picture though, they just keep banging on the "nichols sucks" drum. 

    ahhhh, I get it... see I do just the opposite though, I don't count those stupidly bad balls he throw against him, like that one in game 1 where he underthrew Adams so bad in or at the goal line that it should have been an interception if not for Adams making a great over the back play to knock it out of the defender's hands... see, exactly the same but different...

  16. It's time to hand the ball to Streveler.

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, wbbfan said:

    Im a moderate baseball guy and a stat nerd. Baseball has been the front runner for a long time, and in recent years basketball has broken into it as well. The nfl is slowly transitioning though a few outlier sites like footballoutsiders.com have been doing it for a long while. 

    I use to be a huge baseball fan, that is until the strike year, what was that??? 1994 I believe??? that really turned me off to the game then... never been a basketball fan, unless you include NCAA, then I'll admit to multiple sporting loves... volleyball, softball, basketball (men and women), football...

    I create a lot of my own stats such as; successful plays, plays that gain 7 or more yards on 1st down or result in a 1st down on a 2nd or 3rd down play...  things like that... as well as converting all season long type of stats into actual per game stats in order to evaluate players fairly, or at least on the same plane...

  17. It's time to hand the ball to Streveler.

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, wbbfan said:

    WAR is an advanced stat in baseball. Wins Above Replacement. So the average guy you could pick up mid season as a FA is around a 0 war guy. The base level replacement. A great player in baseball might be worth say 8 war. Meaning over the course of the MLB season they will cause you to win 8 more games then the fringe pro you could pull in off the streets. 

    ahhhhh, I see... I had to google 'sabermetrics' as well... obviously not a baseball fan, lol...

  19. It's time to hand the ball to Streveler.

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

    Qb driven league, but no matter what its far more a team sport then any one guy. More of a team sport imo then any other. 

    The drop from good team to bad team is the quickest in the cfl. And the cfl is known for its flash turns of fortune. They had iirc the most games lost to injury, especially on both lines. Cant win in football with out great line play. No matter who you have. 

    I think its 100% true. Id love to see sabremetrics applied for qbs and in general in the cfl. Especially an indepth WAR break down. 

    you know of these nuances of which he speaks? then please, do tell, my friend...  and I have no clue what 'WAR' stands for, lol...

    almost out of popcorn... :(

  20. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, wbbfan said:

    To throw a wild number out there I would guess the average starting qbs term of service here is a shade over 1 year. And I think Im guessing high. 

    The league as a whole seems to be on the verge of a massive roll over among starting qbs. (i mean its allready happened a lot due to injuries but I think a lot of guys fall out of the league between this off season and next year that would have been in starter battles now and prior) 

    from our friends at Wikipedia:   Bomber QBs

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