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USABomberfan

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Posts posted by USABomberfan

  1. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, AKAChip said:

    I don’t even like to debate you because it’s like arguing with a child but you’re passing judgment on a 25-year old player in the first half of his third career start. You marry yourself to insane narratives like Arbuckle is Drew Willy and then laugh after he takes a couple sacks after having two great starts. It’s impossible to take you seriously. 

    You started the narrative.  YOUR FAULT

  8. Toronto @ Calgary

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    Either way, I'm still going to stick to my bet that Lapolice will be HC in Toronto in 2020, especially if we win the Grey Cup.  They'll be offering him a gigantic sum of money.  Only job opening too with BC and SSK guaranteeing Claybrooks and Dickenson two full years.

  9. Toronto @ Calgary

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Atomic said:

    1-5 in the last six games of 2014 (plus a loss in the playoffs, so more like 1-6), 0-9 before getting fired in 2015, and 0-4 this year. So basically 1-19 in his last 20 games.

    Although to be fair, he also won a Grey Cup in 2017 as the Argos DC.

    Off the back of Ricky Ray rendering that accomplishment useless

  10. Toronto @ Calgary

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Bomber_fanaddict said:

    There is no way chamblin gets the the axe this year. They are still paying off Trestman while popp i believe is on his last year. I have a feeling popp goes before the weasel I mean chamblin.

    Well then they'd better get ready for a rebuild taking longer than four years

  11. Toronto @ Calgary

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted · Edited by USABomberfan

    Also, I wonder where I should set the goal posts at tonight for Awful Arbuckle the game manager?

    Maybe I should require him to throw 5 TDs and 4 deep ball completions of balls traveling super deep to lose the game manager label.  At least that way the passing yards are meaningless goal post stays deep rooted in the ground, LOL

  14. Toronto @ Calgary

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    Well, at least they put this one on Thursday perhaps knowing as usual the worst goes first and best comes last ... Well if the best isn't SSK lol.

    Expect TSN's ratings to be bad for this one, but I might fall asleep watching it since I already am ready for football.

    We know one thing, and Corey Chamblin is on borrowed time.  It's not a matter of if but when he gets thrown out the door.  Borrowed time about to go 0-5.

    I'll say this, no coach ever survives going 0-8, and he himself got fired once he hit 0-7 last time.  We just might see him go to the locker r at halftime, but instead of him coming out in the second half it will be Jim Popp.

  16. Ottawa Redblacks In Town Part 2

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    42 minutes ago, Atomic said:

    He is technically not a healthy scratch because he is still on the injured list. I'll be shocked if he isn't in the lineup next week. Just being cautious and giving him lots of practice time before reinserting him into the lineup.

    We definitely need him for the TiCats game for sure

  18. Ottawa Redblacks In Town Part 2

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    Well, playing through different scenarios in my mind on how this game could shape up, could be one of the two:

    1. Best case: Whitehead or Nelson's special teams play or Nichols deep ball sends this team roaring out to another big early lead with an Argo smoke finish

    2. Worst case: I could see where maybe the script changes a little for us and maybe we start out slow this time.  It's not always easy to start every week on fire and a slow one will come sooner or later.  But, Redblacks after changing the QB get a false sense of hope.  Jennings comes out with a few good throws early hitting some passes to RJ Harris or Caleb Holley.  Game is close at halftime and Ottawa thinks they have a chance.

    BUT .... Then as the second half gets going and Jennings has a chance to get a lead or tying drive, he throws a big pick to Winston Rose or Jeff Hecht.  Bomber defense once again steals all momentum and from there on out, the 2015-2016 Jennings that everyone thought was back disappears, and the bad one of the last two years is back again.

     

    My take anyway.

  21. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    24 minutes ago, Eternal optimist said:

    Might be adding fuel to the fire here... but just some stats on Nichols vs other QBs after Week 5:

    1. Most TD passes in the league (10).
    2. His completion accuracy (69.4%) is right around league average (67.9%)
    3. He's only thrown 1 interception to-date, the only QBs who have less is Trevor Harris and Nick Arbuckle, Arbuckle also has considerably less playing time, so I'd attribute his low INT total to that.
    4. Winnipeg's offense successfully runs the ball... alot! Of our total offensive plays (204), close to half of them (95, 46.57%) have been running plays, which is 1st in the league. We're the only team above.500 that currently successfully does this, the two other teams that are run-heavy are SSK (104 running plays, 228 total offensive plays, 45.61%) and MTL (99 running plays, 213 offensive plays, 46.48%). After that, there is about a 10% drop-off in run-play % with each other team running the ball less than 40% of their offensive plays.
    5. Although it is true we have 2nd most 2-and-outs in the league (24), the league average is 19, we're within 1 sigma of the league average, essentially meaning our offense is pretty much middle-of-the road in terms of 2-and-outs.
    6. His completion % for deep passes (38.10%) is 3rd-worst in the league, though it should be noted he doesn't shy away from it (21 attempts, league average 21.3 among qualifying QBs). Interesting note here though, Reilly's deep pass completion % is only 28.13%... only QB who is worse is Mitchell (20.00%) though I'd attribute that to him playing hurt.
    7. There does not appear to be any correlation between 300+ yard games and team winning percentage (R^2 value = .0872) league-wide, suggesting that this stat is practically irrelevant with respect to wins league-wide, not just for Nichols who is 4-0 with 0 300 yard games.
    8. You guys made me late for work.

     

     

     

    Well, this should earn post of the week right here, a ton of useful information.  I'm very curious about the deep ball completion thing though and wondering who is leading the league in it?  Either way he has been hitting TDs off of it.

    As for the 2 and outs, I think it's just a bit too early yet to get too worked up over those.  I'd guess a good portion have come after we've had some fairly comfortable leads.  If they get worse as the season goes on and we become defective at moving the football in critical moments in September and October with the West on the line, then we can hit panic.  But right now, if we keep on building the leads like we are, those are absolutely not a big deal.

  22. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    49 minutes ago, BigBlueFanatic said:

    I think it’s been mentioned, but the “average” 4th quarter pass yards for Nichols is BS if it also counts game 3 where he left in the 3rd 🤷🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

    But I also think it even further solidifies the case against Lapo because if Strev is in there and ball movement through the air is still very non-existent, that means Lapolice is both going conservative and refusing to take the training wheels off the offense for Strev.  Even if he is in development, he needs to allow that 2nd year guy who to cut loose and sling it around the field.

  23. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, 17to85 said:

    If the bombers get into a situation where they aren't leading in the 4th quarter you will see Nichols 4th quarter passing stats balloon up. It's like no one has watched lapo at all before...

    This pretty much brings home a point, and that is that the season for much of this year has been us leading in the late quarters, and hence lower offensive production in those periods.

     

    Now no one is saying it's all good.  I think the offense should be more assertive and go picking up chunks of first downs at a time beyond the explosion plays.  I do think yes we should try to get more of a game killer offense out there rather than let the defense handle everything.

    But I think the reason Lapolice is more to blame is because it's not like Nichols just suddenly or purposefully forgets how to complete passes to cause this.  I do think in situations like last week where he was knocked out temporarily it took him out of rhythm.  But Lapolice's play selection can also take the rhythm out of the O and it's been a factor we've not really corrected.

    I'd suspect as the season goes on and games get closer and more competitive, the stats in different quarters are going to flip around.

  24. 2019 CFL Season: Around the League

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, sweep the leg said:

    Herb Zurkowsky‏ @HerbZurkowsky1

    I’m told members of the #AlsMTL coaching staff wanted to jettison @StefLogan11 before the 2018 season, but he was being protected by former GM Kavis Reed. Indeed, Logan told a teammate he was “untouchable.”

    Bowman also was quoted in the article as being protected by Kavis.

    Now they just need to make sure Joe Mack doesn't **** it up.  At least the good news is it appears that he would not have the authority to fire Khari, and thank god.  Don't need him hamstringing the coach with Gary Crowton either.

  25. Matt Nichols Discredited Too Much? Passing Yards Are Meaningless

    in Blue Bomber Discussion

    Posted

    18 hours ago, Atomic said:

    So Nichols got better at the deep ball. What's the problem?

    There must always be a polarizing figure in Bomber fandom who is either king to one group, and public enemy number one to the other.  That is just probably the way it will always be here

    2014-half of 2016, that person was Mike O'Shea who the mob wanted out at the end of 2015.  But then after he got his first winning season the guns went shooting at Richie Hall from about late 2016-first part of 2018.  But then when the defense started playing better and Nichols started struggling in 2018, he became the target, an honor he still seems to hold at least temporarily.  Fortunately for him though he has a few reinforcements of stubborn die hard Praetorian guards in the bunker firing back at the enemies.

    But, my guess is as usual that eventually the rockets will stop firing at him and ... Well who knows they might get aimed at Lapolice, Kyle Walters or even Wade Miller next.  Someone's always going to be a target here.

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