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Mr Dee

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54 minutes ago, 66 Chevelle said:

for those interested, here is a link to several other game related notes... CFL Game Notes

From those game notes

Cody Fajardo - A First Since 1954:

-          He is likely to be making his first career playoff start in this game. The last Riders' QB to start a playoff game in the year of his first CFL QB start was Larry Isbell in the 1954 West Semi-Final ... and coincidentally that game was against Winnipeg.

-          It should read … The last Rider's QB to start a playoff game in the year of his first CFL QB start was Gary Lane in the 1970 West Final ... and that game was against Calgary.

Edited by Stats Junkie
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Ten teams in CFL history have finished the regular season with 15 or more wins prior to this year. Of those 10 teams, 5 won the Grey Cup, 2 lost the Grey Cup game, and 3 never even got to the final.

Edmonton: 16 wins, lost division final (1989)

Calgary: 15 wins, lost division final (1993, 94)

Calgary: 15 wins, lost Grey Cup (1995, 2016)

Baltimore: 15 wins, won Grey Cup (1995)

Toronto: 15 wins, won Grey Cup (1996, 97)

Montreal: 15 wins, won Grey Cup (2012)

Calgary: 15 wins, won Grey Cup (2014)

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If Winnipeg beats Hamilton on Sunday, they will have beaten 3 teams in the playoffs who won a combined 40 games in the regular season, which would tie the record for most won games combined by playoff opponents for a Grey Cup champion. Previously done in 1993 by Edmonton, who beat Saskatchewan (11 wins), Calgary (15 wins), and Winnipeg (14 wins), and in 1994 by BC, who beat Edmonton (13 wins), Calgary (15 wins), and Baltimore (12 wins).

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A little pre game Grey Cup Stats  (Since 1945 in Post-War Grey Cups (74 games)

Led After the 1st Quarter and WON: 45 of 74 winners 61%

Trailed After the 3rd Quarter and WON: 14 of 74 winners 19% incl. Toronto '17 (largest comeback in Q4, 10 pts)

Scored first and WON: 44 of 74 winners 59%

Scored first and LOST: 30 of 74 losers 41%

Won with a 4th Quarter offensive drive 16 comebacks to win (incl. Toronto in 2017)

Won on the last offensive play (walk-off) 8 walk-off victories

Won with a score (TD/FG) in last 1:00 11 last minute victories (incl. Toronto in 2017)

Won after trailing by 10 or more points 13 times (most recent Edmonton from 13 points down in 2015)

Won after trailing by 20 or more points 1 time - Edmonton in 1981, down 20-0 to Ottawa

Largest 1st Quarter Deficit Overcome From -13 points, Edmonton in 1981, down 13-0 to Ottawa  Largest Half-time Deficit Overcome From -19 points, Edmonton in 1981, down 20-1 to Ottawa

That 6 of the last 10 Grey Cups have been decided by 6 points or less.

Of the last 19 Grey Cups back to 2000, 14 were decided in the final 3:00.

Teams with a lower win % have won 3 of the last 7 Grey Cups.

The team leading after the 1st Quarter has won 7 of the last 9 Grey Cup games.

There have been just 3 OT games in CFL history (1961, 2005 and the 2016 game won by Ottawa).

Of the last 10 Grey Cups the East and the West have each won 5 apiece.

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Did You Know..
 
The Bombers are the first third-place team since 2005 to win consecutive road playoff games to advance to the Grey Cup.
Sunday offers the potential of a Grey Cup classic, a battle of the league’s highest-scoring teams. The Ticats and Bombers ranked first and second in three key areas: points for, offensive points and touchdowns. They also ranked in the top three in explosive plays, run defence and return touchdowns.

These teams were a combined plus 15 in regular season turnover ratio

Hamilton won both games, the first with Masoli and Nichols at QB, the second with Chris Streveler and Dane Evans as new starting quarterbacks. Winnipeg dominated game stats but not the scoreboard, with more offence, second down conversions, passing and time of possession

Hamilton won with major edges in sacks (6-3), turnovers (9-2), and especially average field position (the Ticats started at their own 42 vs. Winnipeg at its own 31). Hamilton also led for almost 100 of the 120 minutes (99:58), with Winnipeg leading just 3:58 in total.

Hamilton reached Winnipeg’s red zone nine times, while Winnipeg got closer than the Hamilton 20 just twice.

Winnipeg has won the last five games in post-season vs Hamilton; the last Ticats win being the 1989 Eastern Final.

Winnipeg has yet to make a post-season turnover in 27 possessions and on 13 kick returns.

 

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1 hour ago, Mark H. said:

We are legit contenders for the first time since ‘01.  2007 & 2011 we would have needed a pile of things to go our way, in order to win.  After seeing the game plan they had to beat the Stamps, I am feeling very hopeful. 

At least more of the crowd will be cheering for the Bombers compared to 2007 and 2011. Hopefully that makes a bit of a difference.

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I think across the board we are better too...Cat's are drinking up their own Kool-Aide and will be their demise..people ranting about their high powered offence...they scored 43 more points than us all year...included in that was the 64 spot they dropped on the hapless Argos early on..sure they played with a back-up QB majority of the year, but he played all year..unhurt after that and is a thrower..Wpg put up points with multiple QB's..injuries at that position with multiple guys, missing their RB for a few games..and an offence until the last game of year rarely if ever tried to take the top off of a defense...this has changed now...I see a win

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49 minutes ago, Booch said:

I think across the board we are better too...Cat's are drinking up their own Kool-Aide and will be their demise..people ranting about their high powered offence...they scored 43 more points than us all year...included in that was the 64 spot they dropped on the hapless Argos early on..sure they played with a back-up QB majority of the year, but he played all year..unhurt after that and is a thrower..Wpg put up points with multiple QB's..injuries at that position with multiple guys, missing their RB for a few games..and an offence until the last game of year rarely if ever tried to take the top off of a defense...this has changed now...I see a win

And a defense capable of coming up big anywhere on the field.  Goal line stands, timely pressures, timely interceptions, and overall aggressive play.

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Just now, Mark H. said:

And a defense capable of coming up big anywhere on the field.  Goal line stands, timely pressures, timely interceptions, and overall aggressive play.

A big key being overlooked as well..Experience at the ever important QB spot...Collaros has that..Evan's really doesn't...and is due for a brain cramp or two...and big games often bring that from y experience...

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My primary concern is how they will adjust to the Ti-Cats' max protect.  They fared poorly against it in Winnipeg, mostly because Evans was throwing to a spot and trusting his receivers to be there.  This really only backfired once - on the Bighill interception.  

On the other hand, our defensive backfield is quite different from the one employed in that game.  It will be interesting to see if Hammy if comes in with a similar game plan - they must be aware of our changes at Safety et. al.   

Hopefully useless blitzes are kept to a minimum...

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4 minutes ago, blue_gold_84 said:

I really hope the Tabbies are going into Sunday's tilt with fat heads, underestimating their opponent, and resting on their regular season laurels - making them ripe for a solid punch in the mouth early on.

i think they are actually...

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